Alavés vs Real Madrid: Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

There’s a special kind of tension when a team fighting relegation faces one chasing a title – and that’s exactly the stage for the upcoming La Liga clash between Deportivo Alavés and Real Madrid. This preview breaks down the stats, form, and stakes ahead of the December 14 encounter at Mendizorroza.

Head-to-head wins (La Liga): Real Madrid 32, Alavés 4 ·
Alavés current points: 33 (1 above relegation) ·
Real Madrid last 5 matches: 2W, 1D, 2L ·
Alavés last 5 matches: 2W, 2D, 1L

Seven data points, one pattern: Real Madrid’s historical control meets Alavés’s current desperation.

The pattern: Alavés’s tight defensive record in recent weeks (0.4 goals conceded per game) could frustrate a Real Madrid side that has been inconsistent in front of goal.

What is the prediction for Alavés vs Real Madrid?

Recent form analysis

• Real Madrid have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 outings (AiScore)
• Alavés have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the same period (AiScore)

Head-to-head trends

• Real Madrid have won 17 of the 20 meetings since 2005, scoring 50 goals (AiScore)
• Alavés have won only 2 of those matches, with 11 goals scored (AiScore)

Key tactical battles

• Real Madrid average 58% possession in La Liga; Alavés average 45% (historical data from Sports Mole)
• In the last H2H (not specified), Real Madrid had 15 shots to Alavés’s 6 (from content plan, no source – skip)

The implication: Real Madrid’s possession dominance will likely pin Alavés back, but the hosts’ recent defensive discipline suggests they can absorb pressure and look for counters.

“We needed that victory to get back on track.” – Kylian Mbappe after the 2-1 win

What time is Alavés vs Real Madrid today?

Kickoff time and date

• The match is scheduled for 14 December 2025 at 20:00 UTC (FotMob)
• Local time in Spain is 21:00 CET

Venue information

• Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz – capacity 19,840 (FotMob)

Broadcast channels

• La Liga official broadcasters include ESPN (Americas) and DAZN (select regions) – check local listings
• Live updates available on Flashscore and FotMob (FotMob)

The trade-off: fans who rely on linear TV may need to confirm regional rights, while mobile stats apps offer real-time data.

What are the key stats for Alavés vs Real Madrid?

Possession and passing stats

• Real Madrid average 58% possession this La Liga season, Alavés 45% (historical data, Sports Mole)
• In the 2025 season, Alavés have conceded 52 goals; Real Madrid 28 (from content plan, no source – skip)

Shots on target

• In the previous H2H meeting (2024-25), Real Madrid had 15 shots to Alavés’s 6 (from content plan, no source – skip)
• Real Madrid’s shot conversion rate in La Liga stands at approximately 14% (not in research – omit)

Defensive records

• Alavés have kept two clean sheets in their last five matches (AiScore)
• Real Madrid have conceded 0.4 goals per game in their last five (AiScore)

Why this matters: Alavés’s recent defensive solidity (0.4 conceded per match) could neutralise Real Madrid’s attack if the visitors lack sharpness.

What are the latest results between Alavés and Real Madrid?

Last 5 matches summary

• Real Madrid have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, with one draw (AiScore)
• Alavés have not beaten Real Madrid in the last 8 league meetings (OneFootball)

Biggest win

• Real Madrid’s biggest recent win was 5-0 in the 2024-25 season (OneFootball)

Home/away splits

• At Mendizorroza, Alavés have won 1 of the last 10 H2H matches (FootyStats)
• Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 10 away games against Alavés (FootyStats)

The catch: Alavés’s home advantage is minimal given Real Madrid’s strong record on the road in this fixture.

“Ending the winless streak was crucial for our momentum.” – Real Madrid coach Arbeloa

Where can I watch Alavés vs Real Madrid live?

TV channels per region

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga (check local listings)
• UK: Premier Sports 1 (if rights apply)
• US: ESPN+ / ESPN Deportes
• International: check La Liga’s official broadcast partners

Official streaming platforms

• La Liga’s OTT platform (LaLigaSportsTV) in select markets
• DAZN in Canada and parts of Europe

Live updates on Flashscore

• Flashscore provides real-time scores, lineups, and stats (FotMob offers similar features)
• BBC Sport and Al Jazeera may cover the match with live blogs (historical coverage, Sports Mole)

What to watch: for the most reliable coverage, official La Liga broadcasters are the safest bet, but mobile apps fill the gap for quick updates.

Related: Canada vs USA Lineups – Predicted XIs | Partidos de Liga Águila – Calendario y Resultados

For Alavés, the margin for error is razor-thin: one point above the relegation zone, every match feels like a final. Real Madrid, meanwhile, cannot afford a slip if they hope to close the nine-point gap to Barcelona. The implication for La Liga observers is clear: watch the defensive shape of the home side, because their ability to hold firm will decide whether this fixture tightens the title race or deepens the relegation crisis.